Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 298

   Mesoscale Discussion 0298
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1217 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025

   Areas affected...South-central into east-central Missouri

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 301717Z - 301915Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Isolated small to marginally severe hail and strong wind
   gusts possible into mid-afternoon. A watch is not anticipated.

   DISCUSSION...With a secondary shortwave trough pivoting out of
   Oklahoma, additional convection has developed both along and just
   behind the cold front. Convection behind the cold front will be
   elevated, but cold temperatures aloft and 30-35 kts of effective
   shear will support some threat for small to perhaps marginally
   severe hail. Convection along the front will likely remain linear,
   but initial development could pose a similar hail threat with the
   addition of an isolated strong gust or two. A watch is not expected
   for this activity.

   ..Wendt/Smith.. 03/30/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...

   LAT...LON   36999360 37579360 38279227 38699133 38849085 38879029
               38739012 38409026 38029055 36979165 36759237 36669318
               36999360 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN