Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 298

   Mesoscale Discussion 0298
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0519 PM CDT Mon Mar 30 2026

   Areas affected...portions of the Texas Panhandle

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 302219Z - 302315Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...A severe gust or two remains possible with high-based
   storms through the remainder of the afternoon.

   DISCUSSION...High-based multicellular storms have intensified over
   portions of the eastern TX panhandle over the past couple of hours,
   with a severe gust recently noted via the Goodnight, TX mesonet.
   Furthermore, there are hints of convective intensification along a
   diffuse dryline. These storms are all progressing eastward atop a
   deep boundary layer (mixed up to 600 mb per latest RAP forecast
   soundings). Given poor shear amid MLCAPE under 500 J/kg, the severe
   threat should remain sparse, though a severe gust or two remains
   possible given the mixed boundary layer in place.

   ..Squitieri/Guyer.. 03/30/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...MAF...

   LAT...LON   33000293 34970129 35350077 35360027 35129994 34779982
               34449993 33570059 33060120 32730157 32590181 32560208
               32640243 32730259 33000293 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH