Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 294

   Mesoscale Discussion 0294
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0343 AM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025

   Areas affected...portions of northwest AR into southwest and central
   MO

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 69...

   Valid 300843Z - 301015Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 69
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Isolated severe gusts may persist another couple of hours
   across Severe Thunderstorm Watch 69.

   DISCUSSION...A band of convection will continue to track
   east/northeast near the MO/AR border into southwest MO of the next
   couple of hours. This convection produced significant wind gusts
   about 1-2 hours ago. Since that time, radar trends have weakened
   considerably. Nevertheless, this activity will continue to move
   across a weakly unstable airmass amid strong vertical shear.
   Isolated strong to severe wind gusts will remain possible with
   stronger cells over the next couple of hours. Trends will be
   monitored for possible downstream watch issuance into eastern MO,
   but current expectation is that convection will continue to
   gradually weaken with eastward extent.

   ..Leitman.. 03/30/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LSX...LZK...SGF...EAX...TSA...

   LAT...LON   38149409 38659286 38829245 38499158 37739148 37029170
               36239290 35839363 35829401 36809407 38149409 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN