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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 250

Published Date and Time: 2025-03-19 20:57:00












Mesoscale Discussion 250
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0250
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0748 PM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025

   Areas affected...Indiana and southern Lower Michigan

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 59...

   Valid 200048Z - 200215Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 59
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Local risk for damaging wind gusts continues.

   DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a broken -- and gradually
   weakening -- band of pre-frontal storms moving eastward across
   central and northern Indiana.  While more vigorous cells within this
   band persist farther south -- into portions of Tornado Watch 58
   where slightly greater surface dewpoints (low to mid 50s) exist, the
   prior, limited tornado risk over central and northern Indiana has
   further diminished.  While a brief spin-up is still possible, the
   predominant severe risk will remain locally damaging wind gusts.  In
   the wake of the initial band, a second band of frontal convection
   near the Illinois/Indiana border will reach western fringes of WW 59
   over the next hour or so -- which may bring an additional chance for
   wind gusts in excess of severe levels locally.  Overall though, a
   gradual/nocturnal decrease in storm intensity within both of the
   aforementioned bands will continue over the next few hours.

   ..Goss.. 03/20/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...IWX...GRR...IND...

   LAT...LON   38928648 40288613 41368612 42058597 42198519 41468479
               40198458 39008489 38728518 38928648 


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