US Mesoscale Discussions

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 217

Published Date and Time: 2025-03-15 22:02:00



   Mesoscale Discussion 0217
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0900 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

   Areas affected...much of central Alabama

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 49...

   Valid 160200Z - 160400Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 49 continues.

   SUMMARY...The risk of strong tornadoes persists over watch area,
   especially over central Alabama.

   DISCUSSION...In the wake of tornadic storms which went across the
   BMX radar, a residual region of outflow remains across parts of
   Shelby, Talladega, Chilton and Coosa counties. Meanwhile, a very
   large complex of storms is coming up from the southwest. Very strong
   inflow winds exist ahead of this complex, which will continue to
   feed these storms and possibly enhance lift along the residual
   outflow from the earlier storms. Given over 400 m2/s2 0-1 SRH, it is
   possible that any interaction with the boundary could result in a
   strong tornado.

   The environment remains favorable extending farther south as well,
   where a north-south confluence line is noted ahead of the primary
   cold front, and including the Wilcox County cell.

   ..Jewell.. 03/16/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...

   LAT...LON   31078822 32848706 33028673 33238638 33438615 33598561
               33278545 32118566 31038628 30938804 31078822 



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