Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 197

   Mesoscale Discussion 0197
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0739 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

   Areas affected...extreme northern Oklahoma across south-central into
   east-central Kansas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 34...

   Valid 110039Z - 110245Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 34
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A corridor of damaging hail and wind potential is evident
   along the boundary into south-central and eastern Kansas.

   DISCUSSION...Cells continue to evolve out of northwest OK and now
   approaching the Wichita area. These storms are riding along the
   boundary/instability gradient, where shear and instability remain
   very favorable for damaging hail. Upstream over central OK, the 00Z
   OUN sounding showed 2500 J/kg MLCAPE along with strong mid to high
   level winds with elongated hodograph. Similar wind profiles exist
   into southern KS, and the low-level jet this evening will maintain a
   flow of instability into these storms. An eventual tornado risk may
   develop over southeast KS as well later this evening with any
   additional discrete development ahead of the existing bows.

   ..Jewell.. 03/11/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC...

   LAT...LON   37649611 36999760 36739856 36739889 36989885 37169858
               37459836 37779794 38579618 38529557 38239538 37989555
               37649611 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN