Mesoscale Discussion 0174 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0600 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Areas affected...northern Arkansas...Missouri...and into western Illinois Concerning...Tornado Watch 32... Valid 142300Z - 150100Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 32 continues. SUMMARY...Severe risk -- largely in the form of very strong/damaging winds -- will continue over the next several hours, while risk for a few/potentially strong tornadoes will also persist, especially over southern portions of the WW. DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a broken/complex band of storms moving across Missouri and adjacent northwestern Arkansas. The most intense convection is occurring from central Missouri southward, just ahead of the advancing cold front. While a dry/deeply mixed boundary layer is evident over northern Missouri, dewpoints increase gradually with southward extent across the watch. This suggests primary risk across northern portions of the watch remains very strong/damaging gusts, while tornado potential increases with southward extent, across the Ozarks. Additionally, strong southerly low-level flow will continue to advect moisture northward, so tornado potential should gradually increase northeastward, with time. ..Goss.. 03/14/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LSX...LZK...SGF...EAX...TSA... LAT...LON 36129416 37019375 38309307 39169282 40129148 40019063 36909128 35449174 35229305 35449389 36129416
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