Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 159

   Mesoscale Discussion 0159
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0247 PM CDT Sun Mar 09 2025

   Areas affected...the Florida Panhandle...southern Alabama...and
   southwest Georgia

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 091947Z - 092215Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...A few storms are likely to produce hail through this
   evening.

   DISCUSSION...A quasi-stationary front currently exists over the
   northeastern Gulf, and near the coastal Florida Panhandle. While
   stronger overall instability resides to the south, substantial
   elevated instability exists well inland as southwest winds aloft
   persist and aid in moisture transport. Forecast soundings show
   strong effective shear over 60 kt, and these lengthy hodographs
   ahead of the upper trough will support hail production in elevated
   storms, including left movers.

   While only a few storms currently exist, additional development is
   possible near the frontal zone throughout the rest of the day. The
   primary threat should be hail above 1.00" diameter.

   ..Jewell/Gleason.. 03/09/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...

   LAT...LON   29948418 29558494 29628534 29998572 30328644 30298714
               30238758 30608750 31328710 31898596 31888457 31278402
               30708395 29948418