Mesoscale Discussion 0145 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0135 AM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Areas affected...Florida Panhandle into parts of central to southern Georgia Concerning...Tornado Watch 24... Valid 050735Z - 051100Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 24 continues. SUMMARY...Sporadic gusts near severe levels will remain possible along the cold front as it progresses into central and southern Georgia, and sweeps across the Florida Panhandle. DISCUSSION...A high-reflectivity line of thunderstorms persists along the cold front, with the bulk of the lightning activity extending from southwest GA southward. While surface-based CAPE is very low in most areas of GA, extreme shear coupled with brief heavy precipitation within the line may augment surface gusts. Meanwhile, slightly better moisture with low 60s F dewpoints are now into southern GA, with mid 60s along the northern Gulf Coast. Robust supercells are indicated well offshore, and should largely remain over the water for much of the night. Otherwise, the primary area of concern will be the frontal segment now over the FL Panhandle and extending into southwest GA. Here, pressure falls are currently maximized, and gusts over 44 kt have been measured recently. As such, the primary risk over the next few hours should remain largely within tornado watch 24, but portions of the squall line just north and moving into central GA will need to be monitored for watch potential given such strong shear and readily gusty wind environment. ..Jewell.. 03/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE... LAT...LON 29768613 30378578 31618501 32298468 32928445 33458444 33658446 33868443 34278451 34498433 34468393 34148365 33408356 32818353 32108340 31088338 30448363 29948423 29518498 29498567 29638613 29768613
Source link