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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1132

Published Date and Time: 2026-06-13 21:08:00



Mesoscale Discussion 1132
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1132
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0805 PM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026

   Areas affected...Northeastern Kansas into Western Missouri

   Concerning...Tornado and Severe Thunderstorm Watches 327...329...

   Valid 140105Z - 140300Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado and Severe Thunderstorm
   Watches 327, 329 continues.

   SUMMARY...The severe threat for WW 327 and WW 329 continues into
   this evening. While all hazards (including tornadoes) remain
   possible, the threat is transitioning to primarily damaging
   straight-line winds.

   DISCUSSION...A cluster of supercells has grown upscale and completed
   the transition to a primarily linear convective mode across much of
   northeastern Kansas, where wind gusts in the outflow have been
   measured in the 60-70 MPH range. This will be the primary hazard
   heading into the early evening hours, with a focused corridor of
   short-term damaging wind threat evident in the vicinity of Kansas
   City. 

   Strong deep layer shear and increasing hodograph curvature with the
   onset of the nocturnal low-level jet will continue to support a
   tornado threat this evening and after sunset, but the overall
   messiness and linear nature of the current convection leaves
   uncertainty on where and when such a threat could materialize.
   Still, line embedded mesocyclones and tornadoes are still possible
   into the early evening. 

   A downstream severe thunderstorm watch will be needed later this
   evening.

   ..Halbert.. 06/14/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...

   LAT...LON   38749778 38959711 39249622 39599563 39729526 39629435
               39399393 38859397 38029426 37669511 37779649 37999724
               38269779 38429792 38539787 38749778 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-125 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


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