Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1071

   Mesoscale Discussion 1071
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0350 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

   Areas affected...northern Missouri and south-central Iowa

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 303...

   Valid 102050Z - 102215Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 303 continues.

   SUMMARY...Greatest tornado chances including strong tornado
   potential is currently over far northern Missouri into south-central
   Iowa. A strong tornado is possible.

   DISCUSSION...Supercells have developed within the instability axis
   and along the western fringe of the previous rain-cooled air mass. 
   This air mass has recovered as expected over the last few hours with
   ample sunshine and 70s F dewpoints. 0-1 SRH on the order of 150
   m2/s2 along with a very unstable air mass will continue to support a
   tornado risk for several hours as storms move across the recovering
   outflow area. As long as storms remain discrete, a few tornadoes
   appear probable.

   ..Jewell.. 06/10/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...

   LAT...LON   39759452 39929471 40299443 40949370 41169325 41149272
               41009248 40529241 39879209 39559132 39359127 39209136
               39349203 39409223 39689287 39729374 39759452 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-145 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN