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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 613

Published Date and Time: 2026-04-28 22:31:00



Mesoscale Discussion 613
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0613
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0928 PM CDT Tue Apr 28 2026

   Areas affected...North Central TX

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 178...

   Valid 290228Z - 290430Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 178 continues.

   SUMMARY...Supercells capable of very large hail will continue to
   track southeastward.

   DISCUSSION...Two intense supercells continue to affect parts of
   north-central TX, over Hill/Bosque/Limestone counties.  This cluster
   of storms has a long history of significant hail damage during the
   past few hours.  CAPE values remain very high, with steep lapse
   rates and strong deep layer shear indicated on the 00z FWD sounding.
    However, cap strength is increasing as the boundary layer slowly
   cools.  This is likely to lead to some weakening over the next
   couple of hours.  Nevertheless, some severe risk will likely persist
   until at least midnight.

   ..Hart.. 04/29/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...

   LAT...LON   32079763 31989653 31239549 30949649 31349751 32079763 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-125 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN


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