Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 232

   Mesoscale Discussion 0232
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0852 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

   Areas affected...eastern SC and southern/eastern NC

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 50...

   Valid 121352Z - 121515Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 50 continues.

   SUMMARY...Damaging wind and brief tornado threats will shift across
   eastern South Carolina into southern/eastern North Carolina through
   early afternoon. A downstream watch issuance is likely.

   DISCUSSION...Most prominent portion of a low-topped convective line
   is across central to southern SC. It is expected to persist
   east-northeast through midday into early afternoon, ahead of the
   shortwave trough moving northeast in the Southeast. While MLCAPE
   will remain meager, some cloud breaks ahead of the line will yield
   modest boundary-layer warming. This should aid in damaging wind gust
   potential, supported by the 00Z HREF strong to severe wind signal
   from eastern portions of SC to NC. Low-level hodographs will remain
   most enlarged within the ongoing tornado watch 50 through northeast
   SC to southern NC. This region should have a persistent brief
   tornado threat, downstream of transient mesovortices evident in
   south-central SC.

   ..Grams/Gleason.. 03/12/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...

   LAT...LON   33048165 34208124 34728089 35088017 35657910 35897775
               35957679 35617618 35087644 33897813 32767988 32628078
               32638145 33048165 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH