Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 169

   Mesoscale Discussion 0169
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0144 PM CST Sat Mar 07 2026

   Areas affected...part of eastern Kentucky...middle and eastern
   Tennessee...southwestern West Virginia

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 24...

   Valid 071944Z - 072145Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 24
   continues.

   SUMMARY...At least some risk for occasional locally strong to severe
   wind gusts probably will persist with a squall line overspreading
   the region through the remainder of the afternoon.  It is not clear
   that an additional severe weather watch is needed, but trends will
   continue to be monitored.

   DISCUSSION...The pre-frontal squall line has undergone fluctuations
   in intensity, but, to this point, has remained modest in strength,
   with peak surface gusts mostly below severe limits.  Downstream,
   across the Cumberland Plateau vicinity, surface dew points have
   decreased with continuing insolation and relatively deep
   boundary-layer mixing.  However, it does appear that at least a
   narrow corridor of low-level moistening and destabilization may be
   maintained immediately ahead of the squall line as it progresses
   eastward through the remainder of the afternoon.  While it is not
   clear that this will be accompanied by an appreciable further
   increase in cold pool strength and severe wind gust potential, at
   least some risk for occasional locally strong to severe wind gusts
   probably will persist.

   ..Kerr.. 03/07/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...RLX...MRX...JKL...ILN...LMK...OHX...HUN...

   LAT...LON   38408357 38258183 37418241 35388501 35078622 35098754
               36348622 38408357 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH