The Global Tropics Hazards Outlook is a probabilistic forecast for areas with elevated probabilities where tropical cyclogenesis is favored for the upcoming Week-2 and Week-3 time periods. The probability intervals for tropical cyclone development are set at 20, 40, and 60%. The weekly verification period ranges from 00 UTC Wednesday to 00 UTC the following Wednesday. The interactive maps below display only tropical cyclone formation probability and are labeled week 2 and week 3. For week 1, please refer to the NHC for current tropical weather outlook. The latest product discussion can be found on this link. Updates on this product are released once per week every Tuesday at 1730 UTC (1830 UTC when on standard time) including U.S. federal holidays.
Global Tropics Hazards Week 2 Interactive Map
![long_range_tropical_outlook_legend Long Range Tropical Weather Outlook Legend](https://capeweather.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/long_range_tropical_outlook_legend-200x100.png)
Global Tropics Hazards Week 3 Interactive Map
![long_range_tropical_outlook_legend Long Range Tropical Weather Outlook Legend](https://capeweather.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/long_range_tropical_outlook_legend-200x100.png)
Global Tropics Hazards Static Map Week 2 and 3 Combined
![](https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/ghaz/gth_full_TConly.png)
The GTH Outlook product is courtesy of the Climate Prediction Center.