Issued at 2100 UTC THU OCT 09 2025
000 WTPZ22 KNHC 092038 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172025 2100 UTC THU OCT 09 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 101.7W AT 09/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 4 M SEAS.... 45NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 101.7W AT 09/2100Z AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 101.1W FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 17.3N 103.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 10SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 18.9N 106.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 20.6N 108.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 10SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 22.5N 110.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 24.8N 111.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 26.8N 111.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 101.7W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 10/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY
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