Tropical Storm Rafael Forecast Advisory

000
WTNT23 KNHC 091442
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182024
1500 UTC SAT NOV 09 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N  91.5W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  20SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  60SE  90SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N  91.5W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N  91.2W

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 25.4N  91.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 25.6N  92.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 25.7N  92.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 25.1N  91.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 23.6N  92.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 22.4N  93.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 20.5N  94.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 18.5N  96.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.2N  91.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART