Tropical Storm Rafael Forecast Advisory

839 
WTNT23 KNHC 090233
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182024
0300 UTC SAT NOV 09 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N  89.9W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE  90SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N  89.9W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  89.7W

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 25.0N  90.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 25.3N  91.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 25.6N  91.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 25.1N  91.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 24.4N  91.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 23.4N  92.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 22.0N  92.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 20.5N  94.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.8N  89.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN