000
FOPZ11 KNHC 122046
PWSEP1
TROPICAL STORM PAMELA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162021
2100 UTC TUE OCT 12 2021
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAMELA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 29 X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 35 X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35)
LA PAZ 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LOS MOCHIS 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CULIACAN 34 7 34(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 44 X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
MAZATLAN 34 66 22(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
MAZATLAN 50 3 29(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
MAZATLAN 64 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SAN BLAS 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
P VALLARTA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MANZANILLO 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
20N 110W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER STEWART