Tropical Storm Oscar Forecast Advisory

000
WTNT21 KNHC 210244
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM OSCAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162024
0300 UTC MON OCT 21 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N  74.6W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 245 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N  74.6W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N  74.5W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.4N  75.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 20.9N  75.3W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 21.9N  74.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 23.4N  73.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 25.1N  72.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 27.3N  70.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N  74.6W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 21/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART