Pacific Hurricane Feed

Tropical Storm Octave Forecast Advisory Number 3

Published Date and Time: 2025-09-30 16:42:00



Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 30 2025

000
WTPZ25 KNHC 302041
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152025
2100 UTC TUE SEP 30 2025
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 113.9W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
4 M SEAS.... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 113.9W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.9N 113.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 10.8N 114.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 12.0N 114.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 12.6N 115.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 13.0N 116.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 13.6N 117.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 14.0N 119.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  15SE  20SW  15NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 14.5N 120.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  25SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 15.5N 121.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.2N 113.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN



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