Issued at 0900 UTC FRI OCT 03 2025
000 WTPZ25 KNHC 030840 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152025 0900 UTC FRI OCT 03 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 120.4W AT 03/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. 4 M SEAS.... 90NE 75SE 45SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 120.4W AT 03/0900Z AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 120.0W FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 13.6N 121.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 14.1N 122.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.6N 123.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.1N 124.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.5N 123.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 15.5N 123.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 50SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 15.4N 121.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 15.1N 119.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 120.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z $$ FORECASTER JELSEMA (CPHC)
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