Issued at 0300 UTC FRI OCT 03 2025
000 WTPZ25 KNHC 030246 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152025 0300 UTC FRI OCT 03 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 119.6W AT 03/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 34 KT....... 40NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 4 M SEAS.... 90NE 75SE 45SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 119.6W AT 03/0300Z AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 119.3W FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 13.2N 120.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 13.8N 121.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.4N 122.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 14.8N 123.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.2N 123.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.5N 123.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 15.7N 121.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 15.4N 118.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N 119.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BUCCI
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