Tropical Storm Narda Forecast Advisory Number 3

000
WTPZ24 KNHC 220852
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL STORM NARDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142025
0900 UTC MON SEP 22 2025
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 101.5W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 101.5W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 101.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 16.0N 103.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 16.3N 105.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.2N 107.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 25NE  10SE  10SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.2N 109.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 16.2N 112.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 16.2N 114.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 16.6N 119.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 17.8N 122.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 101.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA (CPHC)