Tropical Storm Nadine Forecast Discussion

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WTNT45 KNHC 192034
TCDAT5

Tropical Storm Nadine Discussion Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL152024
400 PM CDT Sat Oct 19 2024

Nadine made landfall very near Belize City around 11 am CDT (1600
UTC) with peak winds of about 50 kt.  Since that time, the storm
has been moving across the northern portion of Belize and losing
strength.  The initial intensity is nudged down to 40 kt, with the
strongest winds likely occurring over water and along the coast.
Continued weakening is forecast as Nadine moves farther inland, and
it will likely dissipate on Sunday.

The storm has been accelerating westward, with the latest initial
motion estimated to be 270/11 kt.  A slightly faster westward or
west-southwestward motion is expected until the system dissipates
over southern Mexico.

Key Messages:

1. Localized areas of flash flooding are possible along the track
of Nadine across southern Mexico, northern Guatemala, and northern
Belize.

2. Tropical storm conditions are expected along portions of the
coasts of Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico within the
warning area through this evening.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  19/2100Z 17.4N  89.4W   40 KT  45 MPH...INLAND
 12H  20/0600Z 17.2N  91.3W   30 KT  35 MPH...INLAND
 24H  20/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi