826 WTPZ34 KNHC 190856 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Madeline Advisory Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142022 300 AM MDT Mon Sep 19 2022 ...MADELINE INTENSIFIES A BIT MORE... SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.3N 108.2W ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM W OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO ABOUT 210 MI...340 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Madeline was located near latitude 20.3 North, longitude 108.2 West. Madeline is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A gradual turn toward the west-northwest and then west is expected over the next 24-36 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Madeline will gradually move away from the coast of Mexico and pass to the south of the Baja California peninsula by tonight. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected today, followed by weakening expected to begin tonight. Madeline is forecast to become a remnant low on Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb (29.33 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Outer bands from Madeline are forecast to produce additional rainfall of 1 to 3 inches along the Jalisco coast into this afternoon and 1 to 2 inches this evening over the southern tip of Baja California. SURF: Swells generated by Madeline will affect the southwestern coast of Mexico for the next couple of days, and will spread northward to the southern Baja California peninsula coast and the coast of west-central Mexico later today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Papin