191
FOPZ12 KNHC 022101
PWSEP2
TROPICAL STORM LORENA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122025
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
2100 UTC TUE SEP 02 2025
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LORENA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) X(10)
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 19(31) 2(33) X(33)
P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
P ABREOJOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
LA PAZ 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12)
LORETO 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) 8(18) 1(19) X(19)
BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) 1(10)
GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) X( 9)
20N 110W 34 64 1(65) 1(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66)
20N 110W 50 30 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
20N 110W 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
20N 115W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
25N 115W 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 29(35) 9(44) X(44) X(44)
25N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) X(13) X(13)
25N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
$$
FORECASTER GALLINA/PAPIN
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