Tropical Storm Kirk Forecast Advisory

888 
WTNT22 KNHC 302039
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122024
2100 UTC MON SEP 30 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  35.7W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......100NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..135NE  75SE   0SW 135NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  35.7W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N  35.1W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 13.9N  37.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 14.5N  39.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.6N  41.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE  90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.8N  42.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.0N  44.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.3N  45.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 190SE 110SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 21.8N  47.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT...120NE 110SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 180NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 25.5N  49.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...140NE 130SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT...220NE 220SE 140SW 180NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N  35.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE