516
FOPZ12 KNHC 091452
PWSEP2
TROPICAL STORM KAY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122022
1500 UTC FRI SEP 09 2022
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
30.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
OXNARD CA 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SANTA CRUZ IS 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LONG BEACH/LA 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
S CATALINA IS 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SAN DIEGO CA 34 14 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
TIJUANA 34 20 X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
ENSENADA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
IS GUADALUPE 34 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
PUNTA EUGENIA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
30N 120W 34 4 5( 9) 3(12) X(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN