Tropical Storm John Forecast Advisory

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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM JOHN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102024
0900 UTC TUE SEP 24 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 100.0W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 30NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 10NE  90SE  60SW  10NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 100.0W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  99.3W

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 17.4N 100.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 17.0N 101.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.7N 100.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 16.9N 100.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 17.4N 100.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 18.1N 101.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 100.0W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 24/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN


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