000 WTPZ31 KNHC 031742 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Javier Intermediate Advisory Number 8A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112022 1200 PM MDT Sat Sep 03 2022 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR A PORTION OF THE WESTERN COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA... SUMMARY OF 1200 PM MDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.8N 115.4W ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM S OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The west coast of Baja California Sur Mexico from Puerto San Andresito northward to Punta Eugenia A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * The west coast of Baja California Sur Mexico from Cabo San Lucas northward to Puerto San Andresito * The east coast of Baja California Sur Mexico from Cabo San Lucas northward to Bahia San Juan Bautista A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case, within the next 6 to 12 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case, within the next 6 to 12 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1200 PM MDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Javier was located near latitude 25.8 North, longitude 115.4 West. Javier is moving toward the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h). This general motion is forecast to continue through today. A slow turn toward the west-northwest to west is expected to begin early Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Javier should move generally parallel to but offshore of the coast of Baja California Sur through today, and then turn away from the coast on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Javier is expected to gradually weaken over the next few days and become a post-tropical cyclone by early Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Storm Javier can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1, WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC, and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDEP1.shtml. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected across portions of the warning area and are possible in portions of the watch area through this evening. SURF: Swells generated by Javier will continue to affect portions of the southern and central Baja California peninsula during the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. RAINFALL: Javier is expected to produce 1 to 2 inches of additional rainfall, with isolated storm total amounts of 5 inches across portions of Baja California Sur through today. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Bucci/Reinhart