000 WTPZ31 KNHC 030537 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Javier Intermediate Advisory Number 6A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112022 1200 AM MDT Sat Sep 03 2022 ...RAIN BANDS OF JAVIER BRINGING HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS TO THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 1200 AM MDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.5N 113.6W ABOUT 240 MI...380 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * The west coast of Baja California Sur Mexico from Cabo San Lucas northward to Punta Eugenia * The east coast of Baja California Sur Mexico from Cabo San Lucas northward to Bahia San Juan Bautista A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case, within the next 12 to 24 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1200 AM MDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Javier was located near latitude 23.5 North, longitude 113.6 West. Javier is moving toward the north-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). This general motion is forecast to continue through today. A slow turn toward the west is expected to begin by Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Javier should move generally parallel to but well offshore the coast of Baja California Sur through Saturday, and then turn away from the coast on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Slight additional strengthening is possible this morning before the tropical storm begins to weaken by this evening. Javier is forecast to become post-tropical on Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Storm Javier can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1, WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC, and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDEP1.shtml. WIND: Tropical storm conditions will be possible in squalls across portions of southern Baja California Sur through today. Gusty conditions are forecast to spread northward through early afternoon. SURF: Swells generated by Javier will continue to affect portions of the southern and central Baja California peninsula during the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Javier is expected to produce 1 to 2 inches of additional rainfall, with isolated storm total amounts of 5 inches across portions of Baja California Sur through today. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Roberts