268 WTPZ31 KNHC 020840 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Javier Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112022 300 AM MDT Fri Sep 02 2022 ...DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM JAVIER... SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.9N 111.7W ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM SSW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Javier was located near latitude 19.9 North, longitude 111.7 West. Javier is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and an increase in forward speed is expected through early Saturday. A turn toward the west-northwest is forecast on Saturday, followed by a turn toward the west on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is forecast through Saturday before Javier begins to weaken by Sunday evening. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. An automated Mexican navy weather station on Socorro Islands recently reported a wind gust of 47 mph (76 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Javier are expected to affect portions of the southern and central Baja California peninsula. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. RAINFALL: Outer rainbands should move onshore of the southwestern coast of Baja California Sur within the next few hours. Tropical Storm Javier is expected to produce 1 to 2 inches of rainfall, with isolated storm total amounts of 4 inches across portions of Baja California Sur through this weekend. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Roberts