000 FOPA11 PHFO 240900 PWSCP1 TROPICAL STORM HONE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012024 0900 UTC SAT AUG 24 2024 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HONE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 150.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 150W 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 151W 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BUOY 51004 34 93 3(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) BUOY 51004 50 32 5(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) BUOY 51004 64 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 154W 34 3 12(15) 3(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) 15N 155W 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) HILO 34 2 22(24) 9(33) X(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) BRADSHAW AAF 34 X 3( 3) 10(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) 18N 156W 34 1 42(43) 38(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) 18N 156W 50 X 6( 6) 37(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) 18N 156W 64 X 1( 1) 12(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) SOUTH POINT 34 1 40(41) 32(73) 1(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) SOUTH POINT 50 X 4( 4) 19(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) SOUTH POINT 64 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 21N 156W 34 1 3( 4) 7(11) 1(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) KAILUA-KONA 34 1 12(13) 27(40) 2(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) KAILUA-KONA 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) KAHULUI 34 1 2( 3) 10(13) 2(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) 21N 158W 34 X 2( 2) 8(10) 8(18) 3(21) X(21) X(21) BARKING SANDS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 6(13) X(13) X(13) HANA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) 13(34) X(34) X(34) HANA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) LANAI CITY 34 X 3( 3) 11(14) 4(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X 3( 3) 7(10) 4(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) BUOY 51002 34 1 3( 4) 27(31) 8(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40) BUOY 51002 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BUOY 51002 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) HONOLULU 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 7(14) 3(17) X(17) X(17) JOINT BASE PHH 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 7(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) LIHUE 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 5(13) X(13) X(13) 15N 160W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 20N 160W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 32(37) 20(57) X(57) X(57) 20N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 11(18) X(18) X(18) 20N 160W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NIIHAU 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 7(14) X(14) X(14) 21N 160W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 12(27) 1(28) X(28) 21N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BUOY 51003 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 29(33) 35(68) 1(69) X(69) BUOY 51003 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 21(28) X(28) X(28) BUOY 51003 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) X(11) X(11) NIHOA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) BUOY 51101 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 22N 164W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 5(16) X(16) NECKER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) 20N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 17(35) 1(36) 20N 165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) 20N 165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) FR FRIG SHOALS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) 20N 170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) $$ FORECASTER JELSEMA