000
FOPA11 PHFO 231459
PWSCP1
TROPICAL STORM HONE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012024
1500 UTC FRI AUG 23 2024
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HONE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 146.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 150W 34 1 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
20N 150W 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
20N 151W 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BUOY 51004 34 X 22(22) 45(67) 1(68) X(68) X(68) X(68)
BUOY 51004 50 X 1( 1) 17(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
BUOY 51004 64 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
20N 154W 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11)
15N 155W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
HILO 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 11(16) 3(19) X(19) X(19)
BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
18N 156W 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 44(52) 9(61) X(61) X(61)
18N 156W 50 X X( X) X( X) 16(16) 6(22) X(22) X(22)
18N 156W 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SOUTH POINT 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 32(39) 6(45) 1(46) X(46)
SOUTH POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10)
SOUTH POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
21N 156W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 4(10) X(10) X(10)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 7(24) 1(25) X(25)
KAILUA-KONA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 6(12) 1(13) X(13)
21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) 1(17) X(17)
BARKING SANDS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 4(13) X(13)
HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 25(26) 7(33) X(33)
HANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8)
HANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 8(14) X(14) X(14)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 7(12) 1(13) X(13)
BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 21(37) 1(38) X(38)
BUOY 51002 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10)
BUOY 51002 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 1(13) X(13)
JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 1(13) X(13)
LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12) X(12)
15N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
20N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 41(43) 7(50) X(50)
20N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 4(16) X(16)
20N 160W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 4(15) X(15)
21N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 8(28) X(28)
21N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6)
BUOY 51003 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 43(44) 11(55) X(55)
BUOY 51003 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 6(20) X(20)
BUOY 51003 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6)
NIHOA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9)
BUOY 51101 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
22N 164W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 3(18)
22N 164W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
NECKER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6)
20N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 7(24)
20N 165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
FR FRIG SHOALS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
20N 170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA