Central Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Hone Wind Speed Probabilities



000
FOPA11 PHFO 291456
PWSCP1

TROPICAL STORM HONE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  29             
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012024         
1500 UTC THU AUG 29 2024                                            

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HONE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 171.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                                          

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

20N 175W       34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

25N 175W       34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   5( 7)  14(21)   1(22)   X(22)
25N 175W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

LAYSAN         34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

LISIANSKI      34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   6( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)

PEARL/HERMES   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   2(13)   X(13)

MIDWAY         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   9(21)   X(21)
MIDWAY         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

KURE           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  14(24)   1(25)
KURE           50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER JELSEMA                                                  



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