Atlantic Hurricane Feed

Tropical Storm Francine Forecast Advisory

Published Date and Time: 2024-09-09 10:53:55



000
WTNT21 KNHC 091453
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRANCINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062024
1500 UTC MON SEP 09 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N  94.9W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 100SE 140SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 180SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N  94.9W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N  94.7W

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 24.0N  95.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 110SE 110SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 24.9N  95.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 26.3N  95.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 28.0N  93.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  25SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  45SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE  80SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 29.7N  92.2W...ON THE COAST
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 110SE  60SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 32.4N  90.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 36.2N  89.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 37.5N  88.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.0N  94.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 09/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN




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