Tropical Storm Emilia Forecast Advisory

230 
WTPZ25 KNHC 070249
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052024
0300 UTC WED AUG 07 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 115.5W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 120SE 110SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 300SE 180SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 115.5W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 115.2W

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 17.4N 116.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 120SE  90SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 19.3N 118.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 20.5N 121.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 21.4N 123.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 22.1N 126.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 22.7N 128.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 23.7N 132.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 24.5N 136.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 115.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN/BEVEN