Tropical Storm Emilia Forecast Advisory

000
WTPZ25 KNHC 061445
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052024
1500 UTC TUE AUG 06 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 115.2W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  70SE  80SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 110SE 120SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 210SE 180SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 115.2W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 115.0W

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 14.7N 115.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  80SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 100SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.7N 117.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 18.7N 119.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 20.3N 121.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 21.2N 124.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 22.0N 126.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE   0SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 22.9N 131.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 23.9N 135.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 115.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HOGSETT