Atlantic Hurricane Feed

Tropical Storm Debby Wind Speed Probabilities

Published Date and Time: 2024-08-07 04:45:26



886 
FONT14 KNHC 070845
PWSAT4

TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  20            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042024               
0900 UTC WED AUG 07 2024                                            

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 31.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)

PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ALBANY NY      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

POUGHKEEPSIE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NYC JFK AIRPRT 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

NYC CNTRL PARK 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NEWARK NJ      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

TRENTON NJ     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ALLENTOWN PA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

PHILADELPHIA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BALTIMORE MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

DOVER DE       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

WASHINGTON DC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

CAPE HENLOPEN  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

PAX RIVER NAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

WALLOPS CDA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

CHARLOTTESVIL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

RICHMOND VA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

DANVILLE VA    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

NORFOLK NAS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

OCEANA NAS VA  34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

GREENSBORO NC  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)

RALEIGH NC     34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   6(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)

ROCKY MT NC    34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

CAPE HATTERAS  34  2   2( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

FAYETTEVILLE   34  1   3( 4)   9(13)   4(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)

CHARLOTTE NC   34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   5( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

CHERRY PT NC   34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NEW RIVER NC   34  5   5(10)   3(13)   X(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)

MOREHEAD CITY  34  6   6(12)   2(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)

SURF CITY NC   34 12  12(24)   5(29)   1(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)

WILMINGTON NC  34  7  10(17)   4(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)

BALD HEAD ISL  34 33  17(50)   4(54)   1(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)
BALD HEAD ISL  50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

FLORENCE SC    34  4   8(12)  19(31)   3(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)

COLUMBIA SC    34  1   2( 3)   7(10)   3(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

LITTLE RIVER   34 33  24(57)   8(65)   1(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)
LITTLE RIVER   50  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

MYRTLE BEACH   34 41  25(66)   7(73)   X(73)   1(74)   X(74)   X(74)
MYRTLE BEACH   50  1   5( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

GEORGETOWN SC  34 43  26(69)   5(74)   1(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)
GEORGETOWN SC  50  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

CHARLESTON SC  34 37  26(63)   4(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)
CHARLESTON SC  50  3   6( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
CHARLESTON SC  64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

BEAUFORT MCAS  34 30  15(45)   2(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)
BEAUFORT MCAS  50  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

AUGUSTA GA     34  1   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SAVANNAH GA    34 10   6(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

KINGS BAY GA   34 10   3(13)   X(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

MAYPORT NS FL  34  9   3(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BERG                                                     



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