293 WTPZ33 KNHC 011447 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Carlotta Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032024 800 AM MST Thu Aug 01 2024 ...CARLOTTA STILL EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY TONIGHT OR TOMORROW... SUMMARY OF 800 AM MST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.2N 111.0W ABOUT 455 MI...735 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM MST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Carlotta was located near latitude 17.2 North, longitude 111.0 West. Carlotta is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). This motion is expected to continue today, followed by a turn toward the west on Friday and a continued westward motion through the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Carlotta is expected to become a hurricane either tonight or tomorrow. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Carlotta will affect the coasts of west-central mainland Mexico and the southern Baja California peninsula beginning later today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions through the weekend. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM MST. $$ Forecaster Papin
Tropical Storm Carlotta Public Advisory
01
Aug