Tropical Storm Carlotta Forecast Advisory

663 
WTPZ23 KNHC 041435
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032024
1500 UTC SUN AUG 04 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 124.0W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..105NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 124.0W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 123.5W

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.3N 125.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 20.7N 127.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 21.1N 128.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 21.3N 130.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 21.3N 131.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 21.2N 133.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 124.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY