000
FOPZ12 KNHC 150845
PWSEP2
TROPICAL STORM BLAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022022
0900 UTC WED JUN 15 2022
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
15N 105W 34 1 23(24) 16(40) 2(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
15N 105W 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
15N 105W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MANZANILLO 34 1 1( 2) 9(11) 3(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15)
L CARDENAS 34 1 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
15N 100W 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ACAPULCO 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
15N 110W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 9(15) 2(17) X(17)
20N 110W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 24(29) 3(32) 1(33)
20N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
20N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 46(51) 5(56) X(56)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 4(21) X(21)
ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) 5(21)
ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
15N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 7(18)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN