000 WTPZ45 KNHC 150832 TCDEP5 Tropical Depression Ten-E Discussion Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102022 300 AM MDT Mon Aug 15 2022 Tropical Depression Ten-E is barely hanging on as a tropical cyclone. Deep convection has been decreasing and is now confined to a disorganized patch on the system's southwest side. An ASCAT-B pass from a few hours ago indicated that the maximum winds have decreased to 20-25 kt, and the initial intensity is nudged down to 25 kt based on that data. The depression is currently in an environment of about 20 kt of easterly shear, and since the shear isn't expected to let up, continued weakening is forecast. The system is expected to become a remnant low later today and dissipate by the end of the week. The depression has barely moved during the past 12 hours, with the initial motion estimated to be a westward drift at 2 kt. The weak steering pattern is expected to persist for a little longer, which should keep the system on a very slow westward or west-southwestward motion during the next day or so. After that, the remnant low is forecast to move a touch faster to the west. The NHC track forecast is a little to the north of the previous one and close to the various consensus aids. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 15/0900Z 18.0N 113.5W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 15/1800Z 17.9N 113.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 16/0600Z 17.8N 114.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 16/1800Z 17.7N 115.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 17/0600Z 17.7N 116.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 17/1800Z 17.8N 117.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 18/0600Z 18.0N 118.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 19/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi