Tropical Depression Nine-E Wind Speed Probabilities

000
FOPZ14 KNHC 121458
PWSEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1      
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092024               
1500 UTC THU SEP 12 2024                                            

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X  14(14)  24(38)   1(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

SAN JOSE CABO  34  X  11(11)  25(36)   2(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
SAN JOSE CABO  50  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

LA PAZ         34  X   2( 2)  17(19)   9(28)   2(30)   X(30)   X(30)
LA PAZ         50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

LORETO         34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

GUAYMAS        34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)

HUATABAMPO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

LOS MOCHIS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

20N 110W       34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER HAGEN