000
FOPZ14 KNHC 061439
PWSEP4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092022
1500 UTC SAT AUG 06 2022
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
15N 110W 34 X 10(10) 4(14) X(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15)
20N 110W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 1( 1) 18(19) 17(36) 2(38) X(38) X(38)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 17(30) 1(31) X(31)
ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
15N 115W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
20N 115W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 46(55) 3(58) X(58)
20N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 1(21) X(21)
20N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7)
20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 1(16)
20N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
25N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 5(13)
20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
$$
FORECASTER REINHART