000 WTPZ45 KNHC 242046 TCDEP5 Tropical Depression Newton Discussion Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP152022 300 PM MDT Sat Sep 24 2022 Visible satellite imagery show Newton is reduced to a low-level swirl devoid of deep convection. Satellite Dvorak estimates suggest the intensity is between 25-30 kt. Therefore, the initial intensity has been lowered to 30 kt, and Newton is now a tropical depression. It remains to be seen if Newton is able to develop new central convection as it moves over a oceanic thermal ridge with warmer sea surface temperatures. Environmental conditions are not expected to improve along the forecast track, however, and global models suggest Newton will gradually spin down. The NHC intensity is slightly lower than the previous advisory and now shows the depression as a remnant low in 24 hours. However, given the current satellite presentation, this could occur sooner. The depression is moving just north of west at 8 kt. The shallow circulation is expected to move westward in the low-level wind flow for the next day. This is followed by a gradual turn to the west-southwest and southwest until the end of the forecast period. The current forecast track is largely an update of the previous advisory prediction with only minor adjustments. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 24/2100Z 19.4N 113.9W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 25/0600Z 19.4N 115.2W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 25/1800Z 18.9N 116.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 26/0600Z 18.0N 117.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 26/1800Z 17.0N 119.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 27/0600Z 15.9N 120.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Bucci