Tropical Depression Gordon Forecast Advisory

000
WTNT22 KNHC 161446
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072024
1500 UTC MON SEP 16 2024

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N  48.1W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N  48.1W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N  47.8W

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 19.2N  48.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 19.5N  49.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 19.9N  49.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 20.5N  49.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 21.6N  48.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 23.1N  47.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 26.0N  45.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 28.0N  45.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N  48.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH