Tropical Depression Gordon Forecast Advisory

000
WTNT22 KNHC 160843
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072024
0900 UTC MON SEP 16 2024

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  47.5W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  47.5W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  47.2W

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 19.1N  48.3W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 19.3N  49.1W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 19.6N  49.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 19.9N  49.6W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 20.7N  49.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 21.9N  48.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 24.6N  47.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 26.8N  46.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N  47.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN