514 WTPZ43 KNHC 031435 TCDEP3 Tropical Depression Georgette Discussion Number 29 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082022 800 AM PDT Wed Aug 03 2022 Georgette is producing minimal deep convection this morning with very little organization. Based on its current lack of organization, it could become post-tropical at almost any time. The intitial intensity of 30 kt is based primarily on continuity, though it does fall in the range between the latest TAFB Final-T and Current Intensity estimates. Various dynamical models suggest the cyclone will weaken and become post tropical within a day, which makes sense given it is moving into a drier, more stable region. Once Georgette becomes post-tropical, it should continue to slowly spin down and ultimately open into a trough within about 60 h. No changes of note were made to the official intensity forecast. The initial motion is estimated at 020/9kt, a little faster than previously forecast. A low-level ridge is expected to build to the northeast of Georgette today, which should cause the cyclone or its remnants to turn gradually westward over the next day and a half. The NHC track forecast has been shifted to the north, primarily due to Georgette's recent faster north-northeastward motion. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 03/1500Z 16.8N 129.2W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 04/0000Z 17.5N 129.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 04/1200Z 18.2N 130.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 05/0000Z 18.6N 132.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 05/1200Z 18.4N 134.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 06/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky